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2012 Fantasy Baseball Undervalued 1B

View the RotoChamp 1B Rankings and Projections


The following is a list of players that we think are undervalued in 5x5 standard leagues based on their ADP (courtesy of MockDraftCentral).

These are the players we would target on draft day. We try to show players that will go early, middle, and late to give you the most flexibility when picking at this position. We also indicate at which pick you should start thinking about picking the player.

Mark Teixeira (early rounds, 28+) - If you have a chance to draft Miguel Cabrera, Albert Pujols, or Joey Votto in the 1st round then don't pass it up. However, if you'd rather use your 1st pick on a non-1B, you should be able to snag Teixeira around pick 25-30 even though he should provide late 1st round value. Teixeira has fallen out of favor with some fantasy owners because of 2 slightly disappointing years. Last year he was fairly unlucky, as he posted an xBA (expected batting average) of .288, suggesting that we could see a nice bounce in 2012, which will help his run and RBI totals. Let's not forget that the Yankee lineup is stacked as usual....35+ HRs, 120 RBIs, 100 Runs, and an average around .285 isn't far fetched. Those are 1st round numbers for somebody that will go in the 3rd round in most leagues.

Billy Butler (early-mid rounds, 95+)- Butler is hard to get excited about. He plays for the Royals and he's only average 18 HRs over the last 3 years. However, things are starting to look much better in KC, and Butler's run and RBI totals could start increasing with a better lineup around him. Plus, he's only 25 years old and aging curves suggest that he'll hit career highs in HRs over the next 3 or 4 years. Currently, he's going around 110+ in mock drafts, which allows you to pick up great value if you can snag him around pick 100. The only downside is that he may not be eligible at 1B in your league, so check your league positional requirements before penciling him into your 1B slot.


Freddie Freeman (mid-late rounds, 110+) - When a 21-year old smacks 21 HRs and bats .281 in his rookie season you would expect a great deal of hype. For some reason, people don't get overly excited about Freeman, despite his early success in the majors. While he may not turn into a 35 HR guy, his power should keep developing and he should start edging closer to the middle of the lineup for the Braves. Heyward was the sexy pick last year for the Braves, but Freeman was the guy who produced. Freeman is currently going around pick 115, but he should return great value if you can get him around pick 105 or so.

Kendrys Morales (late rounds, 170+) - Morales has been properly labeled an injury risk in most fantasy leagues. It seems forever ago that he hit 34 HRs and drove in 108 runs in 2009. Still only 28, he is surrounded by a very good lineup and is likely to DH if he can get healthy. In mock drafts he doesn't crack the top 200, but that would rise dramatically if they think he'll be ready for Opening Day. Even if he only manages to play 130 games this year, it should be enough to achieve top 150 value. Not bad for a guy who is going after his teammate, Vernon Wells, in mock drafts right now.

Flyers

Yonder Alonso (SD) - Alonso's long term fantasy hit took a little bit of a hit when he was traded to the spacious Petco from the band box in Cincinnati. His future is a middle of the order, 25 HR guy with a decent batting average. Will he do it this year? Probably not, but 18-20 HRs is within range and the upside is there.

Brandon Belt (SF) - Belt is becoming a post-hype sleeper. For whatever reason, the Giants just wouldn't give him regular ABs last season, even sending him down to the minors when he struggled. He's blocked temporarily at 1B by Aubrey Huff, but that shouldn't last long. Belt is the superior option and will probably see plenty of looks in the OF, as well. Not only does he have 20+ HR power, he is one of the rare 1B that could provide 10+ steals.

Bryan LaHair (CHC) - 38 HRs, 109 RBIs, and a .331 batting average. Those were LaHair's numbers in the PCL last year. Too old to be considered a prospect at age 29, LaHair is going to be an interesting guy to watch. The Cubs will give him every chance to succeed in the first couple of months, so if he can translate 75% of his AAA numbers from last year he will make a great flyer in 2012.

2012 Sleepers - C
2012 Sleepers - 1B
2012 Sleepers - 2B
2012 Sleepers - SS
2012 Sleepers - 3B
2012 Sleepers - OF
2012 Sleepers - Pitchers