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Matt Cain -
San Francisco Giants
Age: 28
Position Eligibility:
SP-32 
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Last Update: 5/18/2013
| System | Position | Team | IP | W | L | Saves | ERA | WHIP | K | Walks | Value |
| Composite | SP | SF | 211 | 14 | 9 | 0 | 3.16 | 1.11 | 179 | 56 | $25 |
| RotoChamp | SP | SF | 210 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 2.91 | 1.07 | 178 | 54 | $27 |
| Steamer-Razzball | SP | SF | 212 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 3.68 | 1.22 | 181 | 58 | $17 |
| FanGraphs Fans | SP | SF | 219 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 2.96 | 1.14 | 184 | 58 | $21 |
| ZIPS | SP | SF | 211 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 2.99 | 1.11 | 179 | 55 | $26 |
| CAIRO | SP | SF | 213 | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3.07 | 1.04 | 188 | 56 | $30 |
| ROS (BETA) | SP | SF | 154 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 3.10 | 1.08 | 131 | 40 | $23 |
| Current | SP | SF | 56 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5.46 | 1.21 | 49 | 17 | $-11 |
Click here to see how we generate our projections
| Season | G | IP | W | L | Saves | ERA | WHIP | K | BB | FIP | xFIP |
| 2012 | 32 | 219 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 2.79 | 1.04 | 193 | 51 | 3.40 | 3.82 |
| 2011 | 33 | 221 | 12 | 11 | 0 | 2.88 | 1.08 | 179 | 63 | 2.91 | 3.78 |
| 2010 | 33 | 223 | 13 | 11 | 0 | 3.14 | 1.08 | 177 | 61 | 3.65 | 4.19 |
| 2009 | 33 | 217 | 14 | 8 | 0 | 2.89 | 1.18 | 171 | 73 | 3.89 | 4.22 |
| 2008 | 34 | 217 | 8 | 14 | 0 | 3.76 | 1.36 | 186 | 91 | 3.91 | 4.52 |
| 2007 | 32 | 200 | 7 | 16 | 0 | 3.64 | 1.26 | 163 | 79 | 3.78 | 4.61 |
Abreu, Tony
Affeldt, Jeremy
Arias, Joaquin
Belt, Brandon
Blackburn, Clayton
Blanco, Gregor
Brown, Gary
Bumgarner, Madison
Burriss, Manny
Cain, Matt
Casilla, Santiago
Crawford, Brandon
Crick, Kyle
Hembree, Heath
Hensley, Clay
Kontos, George
Lincecum, Tim
Lopez, Javier
Mijares, Jose
Pagan, Angel
Panik, Joe
Pence, Hunter
Pill, Brett
Posey, Buster
Ramirez, Ramon
Romo, Sergio
Sanchez, Hector
Sandoval, Pablo
Scutaro, Marco
Stratton, Chris
Torres, Andres
Vogelsong, Ryan
Zito, Barry
Verlander, Justin - DET
Kershaw, Clayton - LAD
Strasburg, Stephen - WAS
Price, David - TB
Cain, Matt - SF
Dickey, R.A. - TOR
Lee, Cliff - PHI
Weaver, Jered - LAA
Hamels, Cole - PHI
Hernandez, Felix - SEA
Gonzalez, Gio - WAS
Medlen, Kris - ATL
Sabathia, CC - NYY
Sale, Chris - CWS
Bumgarner, Madison - SF
Cueto, Johnny - CIN
Wainwright, Adam - STL
Fister, Doug - DET
Harvey, Matt - NYM
Latos, Mat - CIN
Ogando, Alexi - TEX
Shields, James - KAN
Zimmermann, Jordan - WAS
Darvish, Yu - TEX
Scherzer, Max - DET
Fake Teams Says:
Cain had a great season in 2010, but I was surprised to see his 2009 ERA was better than his ERA in 2010. His BABIP the last two years have been under .270-that is impressive. I am sure I was saying he was lucky in 2009, but he did it again last year. HIs LOB%, or strand rates, are unusually high as well, but he has maintained that for 3 years going.
 
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Fantasy Baseball Hot Stove Says:
Despite being 5 games under .500 for his career, Matt Cain has been one of the best pitchers in baseball, both on the field and in fantasy. Since 2006, he’s gone 57-62, 3.45 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 7.4 K/9 with a 2.21 SO/BB ratio. Pretty dominant. He’s averaged almost 210 innings in his last 5 seasons and capped those off with this line last year:
13-11, 3.14 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 177 K, 7.1 K/9 in 223.1 IP.
The knock on Cain was always that he is a 3 category contributor, as he consistently lacked the wins relative to his other superior statistics. From 06-08, despite a 3.85 ERA, a 1.30 WHIP, 528 K, 7.8 K/9 in 608 IP, he was 28-42(!). However, the past two seasons, his luck has turned around. With better run support, Cain has gone 27-19, winning 14 and 13 games respectively. Seeing as Cain and his team have allowed him to keep consistent win numbers two seasons in a row now, perhaps he is now a 4-category contributor…
...or maybe not. Though Cain’s run support has been better the past two seasons, he still placed in the bottom third of qualified starters in terms of run support average. Those really aren’t the type of reliable numbers you can depend on going forth into the 2011 season. Here are his rankings from 06-10
2006: 54th out of 83 qualifiers
2007: 80th out of 80 qualifiers
2008: 88th out of 88 qualifiers
2009: 65th out of 78 qualifiers
2010: 72nd out of 92 qualifiers
Yes, the numbers obviously support Cain getting better run support the past two years and his numbers have reflected that – but that doesn’t make him a great or dependable source for wins. The “win” category is probably the hardest of all to predict – remember when Jeff Suppan was winning between 13 and 17 games a season with the Cards? Even with one of the best ‘pens in the league and a World Series trophy not withstanding, that Giants offense is still atrocious. A drop in run support and thus a drop in wins for Cain wouldn’t at all be unexpected.
I just don’t believe in this Giants offense to produce enough for the same number of double-digit wins Cain has enjoyed the past few seasons. However, I completely expect his excellence and consistency when it comes to the other four categories, making him a great option for SP.
9-12, 3.25 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 180 K in 220 IP
 
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