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Brett Gardner -
New York Yankees
Age: 29
Position Eligibility:
LF-15
OF-15
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Last Update: 5/24/2013
| System | Position | Team | AB | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | BB | K | Value |
| Composite | LF | NYY | 487 | 80 | 6 | 45 | 40 | 0.265 | 0.360 | 0.372 | 66 | 97 | $10 |
| RotoChamp | LF | NYY | 495 | 85 | 6 | 46 | 43 | 0.281 | 0.373 | 0.386 | 67 | 95 | $10 |
| Steamer-Razzball | LF | NYY | 465 | 70 | 7 | 49 | 30 | 0.262 | 0.352 | 0.378 | 64 | 92 | $9 |
| FanGraphs Fans | LF | NYY | 513 | 72 | 5 | 74 | 38 | 0.275 | 0.371 | 0.361 | 74 | 101 | $5 |
| ZIPS | LF | NYY | 293 | 50 | 3 | 24 | 28 | 0.259 | 0.355 | 0.362 | 40 | 58 | $-17 |
| CAIRO | LF | NYY | 321 | 58 | 5 | 28 | 24 | 0.262 | 0.351 | 0.375 | 42 | 63 | $-11 |
| ROS (BETA) | LF | NYY | 354 | 59 | 5 | 34 | 31 | 0.274 | 0.364 | 0.393 | 46 | 74 | $8 |
| Current | LF | NYY | 173 | 23 | 3 | 16 | 9 | 0.254 | 0.328 | 0.387 | 18 | 42 | $7 |
Click here to see how we generate our projections
| Season | G | AB | H | R | HR | RBI | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | xBA | BB | K |
| 2012 | 16 | 31 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0.322 | 0.416 | 0.387 | 0.803 | 0.299 | 5 | 7 |
| 2011 | 159 | 510 | 132 | 87 | 7 | 36 | 49 | 13 | 0.258 | 0.346 | 0.368 | 0.714 | 0.286 | 60 | 93 |
| 2010 | 150 | 477 | 132 | 97 | 5 | 47 | 47 | 9 | 0.276 | 0.385 | 0.379 | 0.764 | 0.284 | 79 | 101 |
| 2009 | 108 | 248 | 67 | 48 | 3 | 23 | 26 | 5 | 0.270 | 0.345 | 0.379 | 0.724 | 0.300 | 26 | 40 |
| 2008 | 42 | 127 | 29 | 18 | 0 | 16 | 13 | 1 | 0.228 | 0.283 | 0.299 | 0.582 | 0.223 | 8 | 30 |
Austin, Tyler
Banuelos, Manny
Betances, Dellin
Boesch, Brennan
Campos, Jose
Cano, Robinson
Cervelli, Francisco
Chamberlain, Joba
Eppley, Cody
Francisco, Ben
Gardner, Brett
Granderson, Curtis
Hafner, Travis
Heathcott, Slade
Hughes, Phil
Jeter, Derek
Johnson, Dan
Kelley, Shawn
Kuroda, Hiroki
Logan, Boone
Miller, Jim
Nix, Jayson
Nova, Ivan
Nunez, Eduardo
Overbay, Lyle
Pettitte, Andy
Phelps, David
Pineda, Michael
Rapada, Clay
Rivera, Mariano
Robertson, David
Rodriguez, Alex
Romine, Austin
Sabathia, CC
Sanchez, Gary
Stewart, Chris
Suzuki, Ichiro
Teixeira, Mark
Wells, Vernon
Williams, Mason
Youkilis, Kevin
Braun, Ryan - MIL
Gonzalez, Carlos - COL
Holliday, Matt - STL
Cespedes, Yoenis - OAK
Cabrera, Melky - TOR
Willingham, Josh - MIN
Prado, Martin - ARI
Trumbo, Mark - LAA
Jennings, Desmond - TB
Gardner, Brett - NYY
Gordon, Alex - KAN
Ludwick, Ryan - CIN
Soriano, Alfonso - CHC
Morse, Michael - SEA
Crawford, Carl - LAD
Viciedo, Dayan - CWS
Murphy, David - TEX
Quentin, Carlos - SD
Kubel, Jason - ARI
Pierre, Juan - MIA
Morrison, Logan - MIA
Reimold, Nolan - BAL
Valdespin, Jordany - NYM
Smith, Seth - OAK
Martinez, Fernando - HOU
Fantasy Baseball Hot Stove Says:
Brett Gardner has the best eye in baseball, and two stats demonstrate this. The first is zone contact percentage. Only one player (Juan Pierre) exceeds Brett Gardner’s 97.5% contact rate of pitches in the strike zone. This is remarkable in and of itself.
What makes this even more remarkable is the second stat: out of zone swinging percentage. Only Daric Barton and Bobby Abreu had a better eye than Gardner’s 18.2% swinging rate of pitches out of the zone. Only four players are in the top 10 in both categories, the other three being Jeff Keppinger (96.7%, 20.8%), Denard Span (95.5%, 19.0%), and Marco Scutaro (97.4%, 19.4%).
So now the epic question: so what? “My fantasy league doesn’t give two hoots about swinging percentages.” Well, where it matters is in steals. By minimizing swinging strikes and putting the ball in play on pitches in the zone, Gardner maximizes the odds of getting on base for his balls in play. Therefore, his .340 BABIP is not an aberration but an premonition of things to come. With the best pitch selection in the game, Gardner’s well above average BABIP is sustainable. Thus, Gardner should be expected to have a very good batting average which will equate to a good number of steals as he is one of the best baserunners in baseball (only Crawford’s 8.5 speed score exceeds Gardner’s 8.0).
Even though Gardner has a great eye, he still surprisingly strikes out at a high 21.2% rate. To give this context, Span’s 11.8 K% was the worst of the other three aforementioned players with great eyes. Gardner’s second half was productive yet abysmal. He went from striking out at 11, 13 and 15% in the first three months of the season to 23, 18, and 18% in the final three. He only hit .233 after the All-Star break. Have pitchers found him out?
Usually, the third and fourth time a batter and pitcher meet, the one better able to adjust usually wins out. Perhaps Gardner isn’t adjusting. Honestly, I don’t know why Gardner struggled in the second half and there was little indication that Gardner was correcting his ways. These struggles in addition to the fact that he batted last in the order most of the season gives reasonable caution to drafting Gardner and certainly is a strong reason why he is not ranked higher than 76.
Projection: Gardner’s second half was bad, but he still maintained excellent walk and steal rates. This means that even if Gardner struggles, he’s still a great fantasy asset to own. I project him as the Yankees’ leadoff man for the entire season, barring no injury or change in lineup.
110 R 3 HR 50 RBI 55 SB .295 AVG .730 OPS
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Razzball Says:
22. Brett Gardner – He’s that much worse than Ellsbury? Rhetorical! I’ve taken part in 2 1/2 mocks so far — really three, but I was kinda hungover during one, so we’ll say it’s half (actually, I am saying it and I’m not we but whatever) and Gardner has gone near the end of the draft. What gives? Didn’t he have a much better year than Ellsbury? Sure, Ellsbury can be better, but how much better than Gardner? Oh, and Gardner don’t take no jive from no Western Union messengers. 2011 Projections: 105/7/55/.270/45
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