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Brandon Morrow -
Toronto Blue Jays
Age: 28
Position Eligibility:
SP-21
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Last Update: 5/23/2013
| System | Position | Team | IP | W | L | Saves | ERA | WHIP | K | Walks | Value |
| Composite | SP | TOR | 175 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 3.91 | 1.31 | 172 | 68 | $5 |
| RotoChamp | SP | TOR | 185 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 3.55 | 1.22 | 184 | 68 | $10 |
| Steamer-Razzball | SP | TOR | 166 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 3.99 | 1.30 | 157 | 62 | $4 |
| FanGraphs Fans | SP | TOR | 181 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 3.44 | 1.25 | 177 | 62 | $9 |
| ZIPS | SP | TOR | 154 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3.97 | 1.31 | 157 | 59 | $5 |
| CAIRO | SP | TOR | 124 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 4.05 | 1.39 | 111 | 50 | $-5 |
| ROS (BETA) | SP | TOR | 134 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 3.56 | 1.21 | 133 | 49 | $10 |
| Current | SP | TOR | 45 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5.20 | 1.47 | 35 | 17 | $-20 |
Click here to see how we generate our projections
| Season | G | IP | W | L | Saves | ERA | WHIP | K | BB | FIP | xFIP |
| 2012 | 21 | 124 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 2.96 | 1.11 | 108 | 41 | 3.65 | 4.03 |
| 2011 | 30 | 179 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 4.72 | 1.29 | 203 | 69 | 3.64 | 3.53 |
| 2010 | 26 | 146 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 4.49 | 1.38 | 178 | 66 | 3.16 | 3.63 |
| 2009 | 26 | 69 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4.39 | 1.58 | 63 | 44 | 5.05 | 4.89 |
| 2008 | 45 | 64 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 3.34 | 1.14 | 75 | 34 | 4.40 | 4.04 |
| 2007 | 60 | 63 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4.12 | 1.67 | 66 | 50 | 4.19 | 5.25 |
Arencibia, J.P.
Bautista, Jose
Blanco, Henry
Bonifacio, Emilio
Buehrle, Mark
Cabrera, Melky
Cecil, Brett
Cooper, David
Davis, D.J.
Davis, Rajai
Delabar, Steve
DeRosa, Mark
Dickey, R.A.
Drabek, Kyle
Encarnacion, Edwin
Gose, Anthony
Happ, J.A.
Hutchison, Drew
Izturis, Maicer
Janssen, Casey
Johnson, Josh
Lawrie, Brett
Lincoln, Brad
Lind, Adam
Loup, Aaron
Morrow, Brandon
Norris, Daniel
Oliver, Darren
Rasmus, Colby
Reyes, Jose
Rogers, Esmil
Romero, Ricky
Sanchez, Aaron
Santos, Sergio
Schwimer, Michael
Stroman, Marcus
Thole, Josh
Verlander, Justin - DET
Kershaw, Clayton - LAD
Strasburg, Stephen - WAS
Price, David - TB
Cain, Matt - SF
Dickey, R.A. - TOR
Lee, Cliff - PHI
Weaver, Jered - LAA
Hamels, Cole - PHI
Hernandez, Felix - SEA
Gonzalez, Gio - WAS
Medlen, Kris - ATL
Sabathia, CC - NYY
Sale, Chris - CWS
Bumgarner, Madison - SF
Cueto, Johnny - CIN
Wainwright, Adam - STL
Fister, Doug - DET
Harvey, Matt - NYM
Latos, Mat - CIN
Ogando, Alexi - TEX
Shields, James - KAN
Zimmermann, Jordan - WAS
Darvish, Yu - TEX
Scherzer, Max - DET
Fantasy Baseball Hot Stove Says:
10.95 – Brandon Morrow’s K/9 ratio last year, tops among pitchers who threw 140+innings.
100 – Bill James “Game Score” for Morrow’s 1-hit, 17-K start against the Tampa Bay Rays on August 8. It was the fourth highest Game Score, a figure that summarize an individual pitching performance, since 1920.
13 –The number of 8+K games by Brandon Morrow last year including two such games each against the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays.
Using a fastball that reaches the high 90s and a devastating slider, Brandon Morrow dominated hitters last year like a true number one fantasy starter. However, limited counting stats, due to the Blue Jays’ decision to shut down Morrow’s season a month early to limit his inning count, together with a 4.49 ERA, driven by an unlucky .348 BABIP, resulted in Morrow being the 87th best starting pitcher last year according to ESPN’s player rater.
“How many innings is Morrow going to pitch in 2011?” There are serious questions about whether Morrow is capable of throwing the 200+ innings you need from a top fantasy starter. Morrow threw only 146.1 innings last year and that was more than twice the number of innings he threw in any other season. He has a history of injuries and missed three games last year with a sore shoulder. Even if he is healthy, he often struggles to pitch deep into games as he is not very efficient – he averaged 17.2 pitches per inning last year. Lastly, there is the risk that the Blue Jays will limit the number of innings Morrow throws in 2011.
“Can he repeat his 2010 success?” Morrow’s improvement in 2010 was driven by a higher strikeout rate and a lower walk rate. At first glance, it would appear that Morrow demonstrated improved control . In fact though, he threw only 43.0% of his pitches in the strike zone last year, the worst mark of his career. By mixing up his pitches better, Morrow was able to get hitters to swing at a career high 30.3% of pitches outside of the zone. If hitters can identify some of Morrow’s tendencies and layoff more pitches outside of the strike zone, Morrow’s strikeout and walk rates may regress in 2011.
Projection: Hitters lay off Morrow's pitches more in 2011, but his ERA will dip with his BABIP.
13 Wins 3.72 ERA 1.38 WHIP 192 K's in 175 innings
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Fantasy Phenoms Says:
Brandon Morrow is not going to come cheaply in 2011. However, he may still be of a value considering his upside. He led the majors with a 13.01 K/9 ratio amongst qualifying pitchers. He even led the majors amongst those who didn’t qualify. Morrow struck out 178 batters in only 146 innings. His overall ERA and WHIP aren’t intriguing at all, but his second half numbers are far more accurate with what we could expect: 3.69 ERA, 2.79 DIPS, 3.09 ERC. A bit risky? Sure. Not many better rewards out there.
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KFFL Says:
Morrow went 10-7 with a 4.49 ERA last year. His second half form was better (3.69 ERA, 1.21 WHIP). Health has to be a concern, still, but the Jays are committed to using him in one role and have guided him to exert less effort. The K's exploded last year and should stay plentiful, and, doubly good, Morrow improved his rate of walks drastically. His good stuff makes him a target, but those in the know are reaching for him. If you're at a point where you can mitigate his wild and injured ways, take a shot.
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